Derek MacKenzie vs Jonathan Toews
2012-13 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (59.4% vs 59.9%). Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). MacKenzie wins 59.4% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 57.2% vs Toews 59.0% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 73.1%
Defensive zone
MacKenzie 69.6%
Neutral zone
MacKenzie 54.4%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 56.0%
44.0%
56.0%
MacKenzie
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
MacKenzie
Toews
Last 5: MacKenzie 2-3 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
1
2
MacKenzie
Toews
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
MacKenzie
Toews
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
61.0% (264)
57.3% (736)
+3.7%
Power Play
100.0% (4)
71.4% (133)
+28.6%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (55)
66.1% (62)
-17.0%
On power play, MacKenzie has a +28.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. MacKenzie is 59.4% vs left-shot opponents (234).
MacKenzie shoots left. Toews is 60.8% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
Toews
Home
62.1% (145)
61.0% (479)
Away
57.3% (178)
58.8% (454)
By Period
MacKenzie
Toews
P1
51.6%
61.3%
P2
59.8%
57.9%
P3
65.8%
59.3%
OT
50.0%
73.3%
Final 5 min
54.8%
60.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
59.4%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
59.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2013 | 2 | 16:13 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 1, 2013 | 2 | 08:45 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 1, 2013 | 2 | 05:02 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 1, 2013 | 1 | 07:31 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Feb 24, 2013 | 1 | 04:46 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |