Derek MacKenzie vs Jonathan Toews
2015-16 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). MacKenzie wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 54.3% vs Toews 58.0% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKenzie 51.3%
Defensive zone
MacKenzie 85.2%
Neutral zone
MacKenzie 66.1%
Result
Derek MacKenzie favored at 64.9%
64.9%
35.1%
MacKenzie
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
MacKenzie
Toews
Last 5: MacKenzie 1-4 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
0
3
MacKenzie
Toews
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
MacKenzie
Toews
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (523)
58.2% (1,200)
-2.4%
Power Play
52.4% (21)
62.8% (250)
-10.4%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (257)
53.7% (123)
-0.8%
On power play, Toews has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. MacKenzie is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (494).
MacKenzie shoots left. Toews is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (943).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
Toews
Home
54.4% (463)
59.8% (805)
Away
55.3% (338)
57.3% (768)
By Period
MacKenzie
Toews
P1
54.2%
60.2%
P2
54.0%
60.7%
P3
56.7%
55.9%
OT
33.3%
44.8%
Final 5 min
52.6%
61.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
54.8%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
58.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2015 | 3 | 09:37 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Oct 22, 2015 | 3 | 04:08 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 22, 2015 | 2 | 12:50 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 22, 2015 | 1 | 19:48 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 22, 2015 | 1 | 15:38 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |