Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Fehr wins 54.9% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fehr 51.8% vs Toews 56.2% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fehr 60.8%
Defensive zone
Fehr 88.9%
Neutral zone
Fehr 73.1%
Result
Eric Fehr favored at 77.0%
77.0%
23.0%
Fehr
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Fehr
Toews
Last 5: Fehr 0-5 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
0
1
Fehr
Toews
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
0
2
Fehr
Toews
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
0
2
Fehr
Toews
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fehr
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (783)
54.9% (1,229)
-2.5%
Power Play
54.5% (22)
62.7% (354)
-8.2%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (58)
54.3% (92)
-7.7%
On power play, Toews has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Fehr is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (556).
Fehr shoots right. Toews is 59.8% vs right-shot opponents (625).
Home / Away
Fehr
Toews
Home
55.2% (444)
57.6% (838)
Away
48.7% (419)
55.4% (837)
By Period
Fehr
Toews
P1
50.4%
58.0%
P2
55.7%
54.4%
P3
49.7%
56.7%
OT
55.6%
64.5%
Final 5 min
50.0%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fehr
42.0%▼
50.0%
52.0%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
56.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2015 | 3 | 19:47 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 1, 2015 | 3 | 14:34 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 1, 2015 | 3 | 10:17 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 1, 2015 | 2 | 02:50 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 1, 2015 | 1 | 10:46 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |