Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +13.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kane wins 43.5% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kane 45.9% vs Toews 57.5% (-13.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kane 87.7%
Defensive zone
Toews 53.8%
Neutral zone
Kane 79.9%
Result
Evander Kane favored at 61.3%
61.3%
38.7%
Kane
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Kane
Toews
Last 5: Kane 1-4 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kane
1
0
Kane
Toews
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
0
3
Kane
Toews
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
0
1
Kane
Toews
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kane
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
41.9% (198)
58.4% (1,115)
-16.5%
Power Play
51.4% (70)
61.3% (256)
-9.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
50.5% (182)
-0.5%
On even strength, Toews has a +16.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Kane is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (168).
Kane shoots left. Toews is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,035).
Home / Away
Kane
Toews
Home
45.8% (142)
59.5% (783)
Away
43.0% (128)
56.4% (770)
By Period
Kane
Toews
P1
42.3%
58.4%
P2
41.5%
59.4%
P3
51.8%
55.9%
OT
25.0%
61.1%
Final 5 min
40.9%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kane
36.0%▼
39.5%
44.4%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
58.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2018 | 1 | 15:34 | Offensive | Evander Kane |
| Mar 1, 2018 | 1 | 10:26 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 8, 2017 | OT | 02:19 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 8, 2017 | 3 | 17:44 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 8, 2017 | 1 | 19:27 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |