Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +13.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Kane on offensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings). Kane wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kane 45.1% vs Toews 57.9% (-13.1%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 11-9 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Kane 79.6%
Defensive zone
Toews 72.7%
Neutral zone
Kane 67.7%
Result
Evander Kane favored at 58.9%
58.9%
41.1%
Kane
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
11
(20 meetings)
9
11
Kane
Toews
Last 10: Kane 6-4 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kane
7
2
Kane
Toews
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
1
6
Kane
Toews
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
1
3
Kane
Toews
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kane
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
44.2% (1,039)
57.2% (13,047)
-13.0%
Power Play
46.1% (360)
63.3% (3,252)
-17.2%
Penalty Kill
46.8% (79)
53.6% (1,810)
-6.8%
On power play, Toews has a +17.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Kane is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (853).
Kane shoots left. Toews is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (11,653).
Home / Away
Kane
Toews
Home
45.8% (756)
59.7% (9,192)
Away
43.8% (722)
56.1% (8,948)
By Period
Kane
Toews
P1
44.4%
58.6%
P2
45.3%
57.8%
P3
45.2%
57.3%
OT
38.6%
58.9%
Final 5 min
42.9%
58.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kane
36.0%▼
39.5%
44.8%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
57.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2022 | 3 | 17:41 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 1 | 18:58 | Offensive | Evander Kane |
| Mar 11, 2020 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 11, 2020 | 2 | 13:15 | Neutral | Evander Kane |
| Mar 11, 2020 | 1 | 09:10 | Offensive | Evander Kane |
| Mar 11, 2020 | 1 | 08:55 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 16, 2018 | 3 | 11:27 | Offensive | Evander Kane |
| Dec 16, 2018 | 3 | 06:45 | Offensive | Evander Kane |
| Dec 16, 2018 | 3 | 06:37 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 16, 2018 | 2 | 12:24 | Defensive | Evander Kane |
| Dec 16, 2018 | 2 | 04:02 | Offensive | Evander Kane |
| Mar 1, 2018 | 1 | 15:34 | Offensive | Evander Kane |
| Mar 1, 2018 | 1 | 10:26 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 8, 2017 | OT | 02:19 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 8, 2017 | 3 | 17:44 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 8, 2017 | 1 | 19:27 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 19, 2015 | 2 | 11:12 | Offensive | Evander Kane |
| Nov 2, 2013 | 3 | 04:16 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 6, 2010 | 1 | 14:05 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 6, 2010 | 1 | 07:46 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |