Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +18.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Svechkov wins 43.4% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Svechkov 44.2% vs Toews 60.3% (-18.5%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Svechkov 51.4%
Defensive zone
Svechkov 58.1%
Neutral zone
Svechkov 55.5%
Result
Fedor Svechkov favored at 54.1%
54.1%
45.9%
Svechkov
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Svechkov
Toews
Last 10: Svechkov 4-6 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Svechkov
3
2
Svechkov
Toews
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Svechkov
Toews
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
1
3
Svechkov
Toews
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Svechkov
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
43.0% (430)
62.5% (696)
-19.5%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
59.6% (141)
-26.3%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
46.9% (32)
-6.9%
On power play, Toews has a +26.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Svechkov is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (290).
Svechkov shoots left. Toews is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (577).
Home / Away
Svechkov
Toews
Home
41.0% (212)
60.9% (435)
Away
44.7% (226)
62.0% (434)
By Period
Svechkov
Toews
P1
36.1%
59.8%
P2
45.4%
65.7%
P3
46.7%
58.8%
OT
100.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
42.4%
58.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Svechkov
34.0%▼
41.5%
42.9%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
61.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | 3 | 05:53 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 2 | 13:17 | Defensive | Fedor Svechkov |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 2 | 12:50 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 2 | 03:10 | Offensive | Fedor Svechkov |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 08:15 | Offensive | Fedor Svechkov |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 07:54 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 01:08 | Offensive | Fedor Svechkov |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 2 | 06:04 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 2 | 05:45 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 10:25 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 02:39 | Neutral | Fedor Svechkov |