Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.2% vs 56.3%). Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Beagle wins 56.0% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 55.5% vs Toews 56.0% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Toews 74.5%
Defensive zone
Beagle 85.8%
Neutral zone
Beagle 62.9%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 53.8%
53.8%
46.2%
Beagle
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Beagle
Toews
Last 10: Beagle 3-7 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
0
6
Beagle
Toews
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
4
1
Beagle
Toews
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
0
1
Beagle
Toews
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (572)
56.5% (1,310)
+1.2%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
59.7% (325)
-31.1%
Penalty Kill
52.5% (179)
51.0% (245)
+1.5%
On power play, Toews has a +31.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Beagle is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (523).
Beagle shoots right. Toews is 59.1% vs right-shot opponents (662).
Home / Away
Beagle
Toews
Home
58.2% (378)
56.6% (927)
Away
54.2% (380)
56.0% (953)
By Period
Beagle
Toews
P1
58.8%
56.3%
P2
51.9%
55.8%
P3
58.1%
57.3%
OT
50.0%
48.6%
Final 5 min
57.1%
57.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.2%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2019 | 3 | 14:17 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 18, 2019 | 3 | 05:49 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 18, 2019 | 3 | 05:13 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 18, 2019 | 2 | 11:50 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 18, 2019 | 2 | 11:44 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 18, 2019 | 1 | 18:55 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 18, 2019 | 1 | 05:29 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 18, 2019 | 1 | 05:23 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 3 | 06:55 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 2 | 11:14 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 2 | 11:09 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 2 | 09:38 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |