Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +12.5% FO% edge overall. Larsson wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 45.4% vs Toews 56.2% (-12.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 69.0%
Defensive zone
Toews 53.2%
Neutral zone
Toews 52.2%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 57.8%
42.2%
57.8%
Larsson
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Larsson
Toews
Last 6: Larsson 3-3 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Larsson
Toews
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Larsson
Toews
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
45.2% (290)
54.9% (1,229)
-9.7%
Power Play
38.6% (44)
62.7% (354)
-24.1%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (7)
54.3% (92)
-25.7%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +25.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Larsson is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (212).
Larsson shoots left. Toews is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,050).
Home / Away
Larsson
Toews
Home
45.1% (153)
57.6% (838)
Away
43.1% (188)
55.4% (837)
By Period
Larsson
Toews
P1
45.3%
58.0%
P2
41.4%
54.4%
P3
44.0%
56.7%
OT
60.0%
64.5%
Final 5 min
38.6%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
44.0%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
56.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2015 | 3 | 18:12 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 3, 2015 | 3 | 06:59 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 3, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Apr 3, 2015 | 1 | 13:26 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Apr 3, 2015 | 1 | 00:16 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 3, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |