Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Larsson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 53.9% vs Toews 57.5% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Larsson leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Toews 92.9%
Defensive zone
Toews 66.1%
Neutral zone
Toews 79.6%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 78.2%
21.8%
78.2%
Larsson
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Larsson
Toews
Last 10: Larsson 7-3 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Larsson
Toews
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
3
0
Larsson
Toews
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larsson
3
2
Larsson
Toews
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
54.8% (509)
58.4% (1,115)
-3.6%
Power Play
36.4% (11)
61.3% (256)
-24.9%
Penalty Kill
54.6% (119)
50.5% (182)
+4.1%
On power play, Toews has a +24.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Larsson is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (404).
Larsson shoots left. Toews is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,035).
Home / Away
Larsson
Toews
Home
57.5% (301)
59.5% (783)
Away
51.8% (338)
56.4% (770)
By Period
Larsson
Toews
P1
54.8%
58.4%
P2
49.1%
59.4%
P3
60.0%
55.9%
Final 5 min
60.4%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
54.5%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
58.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2018 | 3 | 19:42 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 17, 2018 | 3 | 17:58 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 17, 2018 | 2 | 11:15 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 17, 2018 | 2 | 11:07 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 17, 2018 | 2 | 06:35 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 17, 2018 | 1 | 13:30 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 17, 2018 | 1 | 03:15 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Dec 8, 2017 | 3 | 12:44 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 8, 2017 | 2 | 09:35 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Dec 8, 2017 | 1 | 03:05 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |