Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +12.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 9 meetings). Larsson wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 46.9% vs Toews 58.4% (-12.8%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 13-4 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Larsson 93.5%
Defensive zone
Larsson 87.4%
Neutral zone
Larsson 93.6%
Result
Johan Larsson favored at 91.7%
91.7%
8.3%
Larsson
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
13
(17 meetings)
4
13
Larsson
Toews
Last 10: Larsson 2-8 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
0
9
Larsson
Toews
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
3
2
Larsson
Toews
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
1
2
Larsson
Toews
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (345)
58.0% (901)
-11.3%
Power Play
61.1% (18)
69.5% (226)
-8.4%
Penalty Kill
39.0% (59)
51.7% (209)
-12.7%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Larsson is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (266).
Larsson shoots left. Toews is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (821).
Home / Away
Larsson
Toews
Home
52.1% (167)
59.3% (637)
Away
42.4% (255)
58.7% (699)
By Period
Larsson
Toews
P1
50.0%
61.5%
P2
46.7%
55.2%
P3
42.6%
60.0%
OT
50.0%
70.6%
Final 5 min
55.2%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
46.2%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
59.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2022 | 3 | 19:18 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 3 | 19:06 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 3 | 10:16 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 2 | 09:56 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 2 | 05:24 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 1 | 15:38 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 1 | 15:31 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 1 | 12:37 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 1 | 12:26 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 1 | 09:42 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 12, 2021 | 3 | 10:26 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 12, 2021 | 3 | 05:46 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 12, 2021 | 3 | 05:32 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 12, 2021 | 2 | 03:50 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 12, 2021 | 2 | 03:46 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 12, 2021 | 2 | 00:49 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 12, 2021 | 1 | 03:12 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |