Jonathan Marchessault vs Jonathan Toews
2017-18 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +14.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Marchessault on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Marchessault wins 40.6% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marchessault 44.4% vs Toews 57.5% (-14.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 77.1%
Defensive zone
Toews 92.8%
Neutral zone
Toews 89.5%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 82.2%
17.8%
82.2%
Marchessault
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Marchessault
Toews
Last 8: Marchessault 5-3 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Marchessault
3
2
Marchessault
Toews
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
0
1
Marchessault
Toews
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Marchessault
2
0
Marchessault
Toews
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marchessault
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
41.8% (546)
58.4% (1,115)
-16.6%
Power Play
60.3% (58)
61.3% (256)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
50.5% (182)
-17.2%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +17.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Marchessault is 40.6% vs left-shot opponents (429).
Marchessault shoots right. Toews is 59.1% vs right-shot opponents (518).
Home / Away
Marchessault
Toews
Home
42.8% (320)
59.5% (783)
Away
44.3% (287)
56.4% (770)
By Period
Marchessault
Toews
P1
44.8%
58.4%
P2
45.5%
59.4%
P3
40.6%
55.9%
OT
50.0%
61.1%
Final 5 min
38.5%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marchessault
32.0%▬
32.0%
43.5%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
58.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Marchessault |
| Feb 13, 2018 | 1 | 15:38 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 13, 2018 | 1 | 00:10 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 13, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Marchessault |
| Jan 5, 2018 | 3 | 08:54 | Offensive | Jonathan Marchessault |
| Jan 5, 2018 | 2 | 12:39 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 5, 2018 | 1 | 15:44 | Offensive | Jonathan Marchessault |
| Oct 24, 2017 | 3 | 03:35 | Offensive | Jonathan Marchessault |