Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (59% H2H, 27 meetings). Toews wins 56.7% vs left-shot opponents — Lehtera shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 57.9% vs Lehtera 50.7% (+7.2%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 37-24 in 61 meetings
Offensive zone
Toews 87.4%
Defensive zone
Toews 94.0%
Neutral zone
Toews 92.0%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 90.5%
90.5%
9.5%
Toews
Lehtera
Head-to-Head Record
37
-
24
(61 meetings)
37
24
Toews
Lehtera
Last 10: Toews 5-5 Lehtera
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
16
11
Toews
Lehtera
27 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
10
5
Toews
Lehtera
15 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
11
8
Toews
Lehtera
19 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Lehtera
Edge
Even Strength
57.2% (13,047)
50.4% (2,714)
+6.8%
Power Play
63.3% (3,252)
55.8% (339)
+7.5%
Penalty Kill
53.6% (1,810)
41.3% (104)
+12.3%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lehtera shoots left. Toews is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (11,653).
Toews shoots left. Lehtera is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,033).
Home / Away
Toews
Lehtera
Home
59.7% (9,192)
53.7% (1,668)
Away
56.1% (8,948)
47.4% (1,489)
By Period
Toews
Lehtera
P1
58.6%
53.2%
P2
57.8%
50.6%
P3
57.3%
48.1%
OT
58.9%
54.3%
Final 5 min
58.2%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
57.9%
Lehtera
42.0%▼
56.5%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2018 | 3 | 19:36 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 10, 2018 | 3 | 02:04 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 10, 2018 | 2 | 07:12 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 10, 2018 | 1 | 19:10 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 9, 2017 | 3 | 02:49 | Defensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Nov 9, 2017 | 1 | 18:26 | Defensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Nov 9, 2017 | 1 | 12:39 | Defensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Feb 26, 2017 | 3 | 07:35 | Defensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Feb 26, 2017 | 2 | 12:33 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Feb 26, 2017 | 1 | 17:32 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 2, 2017 | 2 | 05:57 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 2, 2017 | 2 | 04:09 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Jan 2, 2017 | 2 | 03:01 | Defensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Jan 2, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 2, 2017 | 1 | 10:04 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Jan 2, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 17, 2016 | 2 | 11:05 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 17, 2016 | 2 | 04:26 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 17, 2016 | 1 | 19:34 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Dec 17, 2016 | 1 | 10:55 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |