Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on neutral-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings). Toews wins 58.3% vs left-shot opponents — Lehtera shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 58.0% vs Lehtera 50.0% (+8.5%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 18-9 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Toews 88.1%
Defensive zone
Toews 94.7%
Neutral zone
Toews 95.4%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 91.5%
91.5%
8.5%
Toews
Lehtera
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
9
(27 meetings)
18
9
Toews
Lehtera
Last 10: Toews 7-3 Lehtera
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
8
6
Toews
Lehtera
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
3
0
Toews
Lehtera
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
7
3
Toews
Lehtera
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Lehtera
Edge
Even Strength
58.2% (1,200)
48.9% (843)
+9.3%
Power Play
62.8% (250)
64.6% (96)
-1.8%
Penalty Kill
53.7% (123)
36.7% (30)
+17.0%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +17.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lehtera shoots left. Toews is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (943).
Toews shoots left. Lehtera is 50.2% vs left-shot opponents (612).
Home / Away
Toews
Lehtera
Home
59.8% (805)
51.7% (520)
Away
57.3% (768)
48.1% (449)
By Period
Toews
Lehtera
P1
60.2%
52.8%
P2
60.7%
54.0%
P3
55.9%
43.0%
OT
44.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
61.8%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
58.6%
Lehtera
42.0%▼
56.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2016 | 3 | 18:20 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 7, 2016 | 2 | 16:30 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Apr 7, 2016 | 2 | 11:44 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 7, 2016 | 1 | 18:30 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 7, 2016 | 1 | 16:14 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Apr 7, 2016 | 1 | 03:38 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 9, 2016 | 3 | 19:37 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 9, 2016 | 3 | 09:21 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Mar 9, 2016 | 3 | 05:21 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 9, 2016 | 2 | 04:34 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 9, 2016 | 2 | 02:43 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 9, 2016 | 2 | 02:35 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 24, 2016 | 3 | 09:01 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Nov 14, 2015 | 3 | 18:35 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 14, 2015 | 3 | 00:18 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Nov 14, 2015 | 2 | 09:59 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 4, 2015 | 3 | 12:34 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 4, 2015 | 3 | 12:21 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 4, 2015 | 3 | 06:57 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Nov 4, 2015 | 2 | 19:26 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |