Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Toews wins 58.3% vs left-shot opponents — Jokinen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 58.0% vs Jokinen 51.1% (+7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 80.7%
Defensive zone
Toews 93.1%
Neutral zone
Toews 93.1%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 84.9%
84.9%
15.1%
Toews
Jokinen
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Toews
Jokinen
Last 6: Toews 5-1 Jokinen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
4
0
Toews
Jokinen
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
1
0
Toews
Jokinen
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jokinen
0
1
Toews
Jokinen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Jokinen
Edge
Even Strength
58.2% (1,200)
40.3% (72)
+17.9%
Power Play
62.8% (250)
56.8% (132)
+6.0%
Penalty Kill
53.7% (123)
53.4% (58)
+0.3%
On even strength, Toews has a +17.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jokinen shoots left. Toews is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (943).
Toews shoots left. Jokinen is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (162).
Home / Away
Toews
Jokinen
Home
59.8% (805)
58.7% (150)
Away
57.3% (768)
42.0% (112)
By Period
Toews
Jokinen
P1
60.2%
53.0%
P2
60.7%
46.2%
P3
55.9%
50.6%
OT
44.8%
77.8%
Final 5 min
61.8%
63.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
58.6%
Jokinen
44.0%▼
56.0%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2016 | 2 | 19:46 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 22, 2016 | 2 | 16:16 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 22, 2015 | 3 | 09:03 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 22, 2015 | 3 | 05:28 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 22, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jussi Jokinen |
| Oct 22, 2015 | 2 | 13:06 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |