Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Toews wins 59.8% vs right-shot opponents — Brodziak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 56.2% vs Brodziak 49.3% (+7.3%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Toews 95.2%
Defensive zone
Toews 54.0%
Neutral zone
Toews 80.1%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 79.8%
79.8%
20.2%
Toews
Brodziak
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
3
(11 meetings)
8
3
Toews
Brodziak
Last 10: Toews 7-3 Brodziak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
5
0
Toews
Brodziak
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
2
1
Toews
Brodziak
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brodziak
1
2
Toews
Brodziak
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Brodziak
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (1,229)
49.3% (538)
+5.6%
Power Play
62.7% (354)
22.2% (9)
+40.5%
Penalty Kill
54.3% (92)
50.7% (140)
+3.6%
On power play, Toews has a +40.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brodziak shoots right. Toews is 59.8% vs right-shot opponents (625).
Toews shoots left. Brodziak is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (491).
Home / Away
Toews
Brodziak
Home
57.6% (838)
50.0% (310)
Away
55.4% (837)
48.5% (377)
By Period
Toews
Brodziak
P1
58.0%
49.5%
P2
54.4%
53.0%
P3
56.7%
44.7%
OT
64.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.3%
55.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
56.5%
Brodziak
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2015 | 2 | 11:58 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 3, 2015 | 3 | 13:52 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Feb 3, 2015 | 2 | 17:41 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 11, 2015 | 2 | 00:15 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 11, 2015 | 2 | 00:09 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Jan 11, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 8, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Jan 8, 2015 | 1 | 15:19 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 8, 2015 | 1 | 12:05 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 8, 2015 | 1 | 11:08 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 8, 2015 | 1 | 02:56 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |