Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Toews wins 58.9% vs right-shot opponents — Turris shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 58.0% vs Turris 51.2% (+7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 66.6%
Defensive zone
Toews 81.2%
Neutral zone
Toews 82.9%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 75.4%
75.4%
24.6%
Toews
Turris
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Toews
Turris
Last 7: Toews 5-2 Turris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
2
1
Toews
Turris
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Toews
Turris
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
2
0
Toews
Turris
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Turris
Edge
Even Strength
58.2% (1,200)
50.9% (801)
+7.3%
Power Play
62.8% (250)
54.4% (204)
+8.4%
Penalty Kill
53.7% (123)
43.6% (39)
+10.1%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Turris shoots right. Toews is 58.9% vs right-shot opponents (630).
Toews shoots left. Turris is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (721).
Home / Away
Toews
Turris
Home
59.8% (805)
55.6% (482)
Away
57.3% (768)
47.7% (562)
By Period
Toews
Turris
P1
60.2%
49.1%
P2
60.7%
51.6%
P3
55.9%
53.4%
OT
44.8%
47.1%
Final 5 min
61.8%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
58.6%
Turris
56.0%▲
49.0%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2016 | 3 | 15:24 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 3, 2016 | 3 | 08:52 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 3, 2016 | 3 | 08:43 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Dec 3, 2015 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 3, 2015 | 3 | 08:19 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Dec 3, 2015 | 3 | 03:34 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 3, 2015 | 2 | 19:44 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |