Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Toews wins 57.4% vs left-shot opponents — Komarov shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 57.5% vs Komarov 51.9% (+5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 85.0%
Defensive zone
Komarov 74.0%
Neutral zone
Komarov 55.4%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 61.7%
61.7%
38.3%
Toews
Komarov
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Toews
Komarov
Last 6: Toews 3-3 Komarov
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
2
1
Toews
Komarov
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Komarov
0
1
Toews
Komarov
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Toews
Komarov
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Komarov
Edge
Even Strength
58.4% (1,115)
48.1% (79)
+10.3%
Power Play
61.3% (256)
100.0% (1)
-38.7%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (182)
55.3% (132)
-4.8%
On power play, Komarov has a +38.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Komarov shoots left. Toews is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,035).
Toews shoots left. Komarov is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (130).
Home / Away
Toews
Komarov
Home
59.5% (783)
57.1% (105)
Away
56.4% (770)
48.6% (107)
By Period
Toews
Komarov
P1
58.4%
54.4%
P2
59.4%
52.3%
P3
55.9%
53.1%
OT
61.1%
42.9%
Final 5 min
58.9%
64.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
58.0%
Komarov
46.0%▲
42.0%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2018 | 1 | 17:45 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 9, 2017 | 3 | 16:36 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 9, 2017 | 2 | 15:58 | Defensive | Leo Komarov |
| Oct 9, 2017 | 1 | 15:06 | Neutral | Leo Komarov |
| Oct 9, 2017 | 1 | 00:25 | Offensive | Leo Komarov |
| Oct 9, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |