Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (74% H2H, 19 meetings). Toews wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Goc shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 57.8% vs Goc 52.3% (+5.5%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 39-18 in 57 meetings
Offensive zone
Toews 97.6%
Defensive zone
Toews 79.8%
Neutral zone
Toews 92.6%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 92.5%
92.5%
7.5%
Toews
Goc
Head-to-Head Record
39
-
18
(57 meetings)
39
18
Toews
Goc
Last 10: Toews 7-3 Goc
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
14
5
Toews
Goc
19 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
6
2
Toews
Goc
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
19
11
Toews
Goc
30 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Goc
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (12,906)
53.0% (3,301)
+4.1%
Power Play
63.2% (3,220)
58.0% (314)
+5.2%
Penalty Kill
53.6% (1,808)
47.4% (728)
+6.2%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Goc shoots left. Toews is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (11,532).
Toews shoots left. Goc is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,768).
Home / Away
Toews
Goc
Home
59.6% (9,086)
53.9% (2,079)
Away
56.1% (8,879)
51.0% (2,296)
By Period
Toews
Goc
P1
58.7%
51.9%
P2
57.7%
53.1%
P3
57.2%
52.4%
OT
58.8%
44.9%
Final 5 min
58.1%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
52.0%▼
58.0%
57.9%
Goc
52.0%▼
55.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2015 | 3 | 06:29 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 9, 2015 | 2 | 19:18 | Offensive | Marcel Goc |
| Apr 9, 2015 | 2 | 06:55 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 5, 2015 | 2 | 01:14 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 21, 2015 | 1 | 15:24 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 8, 2013 | 3 | 04:06 | Offensive | Marcel Goc |
| Dec 8, 2013 | 3 | 02:06 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 8, 2013 | 2 | 14:10 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 8, 2013 | 2 | 08:53 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |
| Dec 8, 2013 | 1 | 07:21 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 8, 2013 | 1 | 00:57 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Oct 22, 2013 | 3 | 14:33 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 22, 2013 | 3 | 12:00 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |
| Oct 22, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 22, 2013 | 2 | 13:43 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 22, 2013 | 2 | 11:25 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 22, 2013 | 2 | 08:33 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 22, 2013 | 1 | 10:09 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 22, 2013 | 1 | 10:03 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 22, 2013 | 1 | 09:51 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |