Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on neutral-zone draws (69% H2H, 16 meetings). Toews wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Goc shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 56.3% vs Goc 49.9% (+6.8%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 15-7 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Toews 94.7%
Defensive zone
Toews 72.6%
Neutral zone
Toews 86.0%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 86.4%
86.4%
13.6%
Toews
Goc
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
7
(22 meetings)
15
7
Toews
Goc
Last 10: Toews 7-3 Goc
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Toews
Goc
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
2
0
Toews
Goc
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
11
5
Toews
Goc
16 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Goc
Edge
Even Strength
55.6% (1,125)
50.3% (590)
+5.3%
Power Play
59.3% (312)
47.3% (55)
+12.0%
Penalty Kill
57.4% (204)
46.2% (39)
+11.2%
On power play, Toews has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Goc shoots left. Toews is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,194).
Toews shoots left. Goc is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (473).
Home / Away
Toews
Goc
Home
59.8% (858)
52.7% (283)
Away
53.3% (795)
48.0% (410)
By Period
Toews
Goc
P1
58.7%
50.7%
P2
55.1%
50.7%
P3
56.5%
49.8%
OT
54.8%
20.0%
Final 5 min
56.3%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
56.7%
Goc
52.0%▼
55.5%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2011 | 3 | 09:19 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 16, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 16, 2011 | 2 | 05:30 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |
| Jan 16, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 16, 2011 | 1 | 08:32 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 16, 2011 | 1 | 06:38 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 16, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 15, 2011 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 3 | 03:30 | Offensive | Marcel Goc |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 2 | 12:40 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |
| Dec 22, 2010 | 3 | 11:13 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 22, 2010 | 3 | 07:27 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |
| Dec 22, 2010 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 22, 2010 | 2 | 12:25 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 22, 2010 | 2 | 04:09 | Offensive | Marcel Goc |
| Dec 22, 2010 | 2 | 01:39 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 22, 2010 | 2 | 01:22 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |
| Dec 22, 2010 | 1 | 12:29 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 22, 2010 | 1 | 10:47 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 22, 2010 | 1 | 10:41 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |