Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Toews wins 56.1% vs left-shot opponents — Jankowski shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 60.2% vs Jankowski 53.2% (+7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 92.0%
Defensive zone
Toews 81.9%
Neutral zone
Toews 93.7%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 91.8%
91.8%
8.2%
Toews
Jankowski
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
1
(8 meetings)
7
1
Toews
Jankowski
Last 8: Toews 7-1 Jankowski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
2
0
Toews
Jankowski
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
1
0
Toews
Jankowski
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
4
1
Toews
Jankowski
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Jankowski
Edge
Even Strength
62.4% (692)
53.8% (515)
+8.6%
Power Play
59.3% (135)
41.7% (12)
+17.6%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (32)
57.9% (38)
-11.0%
On power play, Toews has a +17.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jankowski shoots left. Toews is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (574).
Toews shoots left. Jankowski is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (353).
Home / Away
Toews
Jankowski
Home
60.9% (435)
53.9% (310)
Away
61.8% (424)
53.7% (255)
By Period
Toews
Jankowski
P1
60.2%
54.4%
P2
65.7%
55.7%
P3
58.2%
51.5%
Final 5 min
58.3%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
62.0%▬
61.5%
61.4%
Jankowski
50.0%▬
51.0%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 17:27 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 02:23 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 00:49 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 21, 2025 | 3 | 14:03 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 21, 2025 | 3 | 04:13 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 21, 2025 | 1 | 09:40 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 21, 2025 | 1 | 09:28 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 21, 2025 | 1 | 04:36 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |