Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Toews wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Jankowski shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 56.0% vs Jankowski 51.7% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 86.5%
Defensive zone
Toews 61.5%
Neutral zone
Toews 73.1%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 71.8%
71.8%
28.2%
Toews
Jankowski
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Toews
Jankowski
Last 6: Toews 5-1 Jankowski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
2
0
Toews
Jankowski
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
2
1
Toews
Jankowski
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
1
0
Toews
Jankowski
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Jankowski
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (1,310)
52.6% (701)
+3.9%
Power Play
59.7% (325)
66.7% (12)
-7.0%
Penalty Kill
51.0% (245)
45.8% (107)
+5.2%
On power play, Jankowski has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jankowski shoots left. Toews is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,218).
Toews shoots left. Jankowski is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (538).
Home / Away
Toews
Jankowski
Home
56.6% (927)
56.6% (424)
Away
56.0% (953)
47.0% (396)
By Period
Toews
Jankowski
P1
56.3%
49.3%
P2
55.8%
57.4%
P3
57.3%
49.3%
Final 5 min
57.3%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
56.3%
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2019 | 3 | 17:38 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 7, 2019 | 2 | 19:08 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 7, 2019 | 1 | 12:36 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 7, 2019 | 1 | 08:05 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 2, 2018 | 3 | 07:13 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 3, 2018 | 1 | 12:46 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |