Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Toews wins 58.9% vs right-shot opponents — Letestu shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 58.0% vs Letestu 51.2% (+7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 93.0%
Defensive zone
Toews 60.9%
Neutral zone
Toews 79.7%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 89.2%
89.2%
10.8%
Toews
Letestu
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Toews
Letestu
Last 7: Toews 6-1 Letestu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
5
0
Toews
Letestu
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Toews
Letestu
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Letestu
Edge
Even Strength
58.2% (1,200)
52.5% (755)
+5.7%
Power Play
62.8% (250)
53.3% (167)
+9.5%
Penalty Kill
53.7% (123)
46.3% (240)
+7.4%
On power play, Toews has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Letestu shoots right. Toews is 58.9% vs right-shot opponents (630).
Toews shoots left. Letestu is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (808).
Home / Away
Toews
Letestu
Home
59.8% (805)
54.9% (554)
Away
57.3% (768)
48.0% (608)
By Period
Toews
Letestu
P1
60.2%
50.7%
P2
60.7%
54.6%
P3
55.9%
48.4%
OT
44.8%
54.5%
Final 5 min
61.8%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
58.6%
Letestu
58.0%▲
54.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2015 | 2 | 01:54 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 18, 2015 | 1 | 08:36 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 8, 2015 | 2 | 19:41 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 8, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 8, 2015 | 1 | 19:41 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 8, 2015 | 1 | 17:35 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |
| Nov 8, 2015 | 1 | 05:05 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |