Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Toews wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Hanzal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 56.3% vs Hanzal 50.3% (+6.4%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 12-5 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Toews 92.2%
Defensive zone
Toews 67.2%
Neutral zone
Toews 83.4%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 82.7%
82.7%
17.3%
Toews
Hanzal
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
5
(17 meetings)
12
5
Toews
Hanzal
Last 10: Toews 6-4 Hanzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
4
2
Toews
Hanzal
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
3
1
Toews
Hanzal
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
5
2
Toews
Hanzal
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Hanzal
Edge
Even Strength
55.6% (1,125)
50.3% (728)
+5.3%
Power Play
59.3% (312)
51.6% (182)
+7.7%
Penalty Kill
57.4% (204)
50.9% (108)
+6.5%
On power play, Toews has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hanzal shoots left. Toews is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,194).
Toews shoots left. Hanzal is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (730).
Home / Away
Toews
Hanzal
Home
59.8% (858)
48.9% (481)
Away
53.3% (795)
51.6% (548)
By Period
Toews
Hanzal
P1
58.7%
47.6%
P2
55.1%
51.3%
P3
56.5%
51.2%
OT
54.8%
63.6%
Final 5 min
56.3%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
56.7%
Hanzal
58.0%▬
57.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2011 | OT | 02:13 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Feb 27, 2011 | 1 | 19:24 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Feb 27, 2011 | 1 | 16:40 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 12, 2011 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 12, 2011 | 2 | 08:21 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 12, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 12, 2011 | 1 | 17:12 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Feb 12, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 10, 2010 | 3 | 14:26 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 10, 2010 | 3 | 06:57 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Nov 10, 2010 | 3 | 00:50 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 10, 2010 | 3 | 00:43 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 10, 2010 | 2 | 14:17 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 10, 2010 | 1 | 15:54 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 10, 2010 | 1 | 13:22 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 10, 2010 | 1 | 07:05 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 10, 2010 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |