Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Toews wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Reasoner shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 56.3% vs Reasoner 54.2% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Toews 92.8%
Defensive zone
Reasoner 55.8%
Neutral zone
Toews 64.1%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 75.1%
75.1%
24.9%
Toews
Reasoner
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
3
(11 meetings)
8
3
Toews
Reasoner
Last 10: Toews 8-2 Reasoner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
7
0
Toews
Reasoner
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Reasoner
1
3
Toews
Reasoner
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Reasoner
Edge
Even Strength
55.6% (1,125)
56.1% (923)
-0.5%
Power Play
59.3% (312)
56.1% (57)
+3.2%
Penalty Kill
57.4% (204)
48.2% (278)
+9.2%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reasoner shoots left. Toews is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,194).
Toews shoots left. Reasoner is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (830).
Home / Away
Toews
Reasoner
Home
59.8% (858)
56.9% (627)
Away
53.3% (795)
52.2% (657)
By Period
Toews
Reasoner
P1
58.7%
52.9%
P2
55.1%
53.8%
P3
56.5%
57.1%
OT
54.8%
40.0%
Final 5 min
56.3%
53.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
56.7%
Reasoner
50.0%▼
52.5%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2011 | 2 | 14:09 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 23, 2011 | 2 | 09:04 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 23, 2011 | 2 | 07:40 | Defensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Mar 23, 2011 | 2 | 04:48 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 23, 2011 | 2 | 01:02 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 23, 2011 | 1 | 05:12 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 23, 2011 | 1 | 00:48 | Defensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Mar 8, 2011 | 3 | 18:42 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 8, 2011 | 3 | 07:18 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 8, 2011 | 2 | 19:23 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 8, 2011 | 1 | 06:30 | Defensive | Marty Reasoner |