Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Lapierre on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Toews wins 58.2% vs right-shot opponents — Lapierre shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 59.0% vs Lapierre 50.5% (+9.3%)
H2H factor
Lapierre leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Toews 81.6%
Defensive zone
Lapierre 83.7%
Neutral zone
Lapierre 61.3%
Result
Maxim Lapierre favored at 63.5%
36.5%
63.5%
Toews
Lapierre
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
7
(13 meetings)
6
7
Toews
Lapierre
Last 10: Toews 5-5 Lapierre
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
2
1
Toews
Lapierre
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lapierre
2
5
Toews
Lapierre
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
2
1
Toews
Lapierre
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Lapierre
Edge
Even Strength
57.3% (736)
52.9% (416)
+4.4%
Power Play
71.4% (133)
54.5% (11)
+16.9%
Penalty Kill
66.1% (62)
41.7% (115)
+24.4%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +24.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lapierre shoots right. Toews is 58.2% vs right-shot opponents (306).
Toews shoots left. Lapierre is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (394).
Home / Away
Toews
Lapierre
Home
61.0% (479)
48.7% (277)
Away
58.8% (454)
52.5% (265)
By Period
Toews
Lapierre
P1
61.3%
56.6%
P2
57.9%
43.9%
P3
59.3%
52.7%
OT
73.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
60.1%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
59.9%
Lapierre
56.0%▬
55.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2013 | 3 | 07:17 | Defensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Apr 22, 2013 | 3 | 07:07 | Neutral | Maxim Lapierre |
| Apr 22, 2013 | 3 | 03:18 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 22, 2013 | 2 | 09:51 | Defensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Apr 22, 2013 | 2 | 09:44 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 22, 2013 | 1 | 14:28 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 19, 2013 | 2 | 10:49 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 19, 2013 | 2 | 05:42 | Defensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Feb 19, 2013 | 1 | 08:52 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 19, 2013 | 1 | 08:48 | Offensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Feb 1, 2013 | OT | 02:02 | Defensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Feb 1, 2013 | 3 | 18:15 | Defensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Feb 1, 2013 | 2 | 17:48 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |