Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Toews wins 53.9% vs left-shot opponents — Chaput shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 54.6% vs Chaput 52.2% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 65.8%
Defensive zone
Toews 51.3%
Neutral zone
Toews 52.9%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
Toews
Chaput
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Toews
Chaput
Last 5: Toews 3-2 Chaput
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Toews
Chaput
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
1
0
Toews
Chaput
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Chaput
Edge
Even Strength
54.8% (1,153)
52.7% (374)
+2.1%
Power Play
58.8% (233)
62.5% (8)
-3.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (166)
33.3% (3)
+16.7%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Chaput shoots left. Toews is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (988).
Toews shoots left. Chaput is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (261).
Home / Away
Toews
Chaput
Home
58.7% (784)
58.4% (178)
Away
51.0% (768)
47.8% (207)
By Period
Toews
Chaput
P1
54.0%
52.3%
P2
57.4%
49.6%
P3
52.6%
56.9%
Final 5 min
55.9%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
54.9%
Chaput
56.0%▲
46.5%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2016 | 3 | 07:57 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 19, 2016 | 2 | 19:47 | Defensive | Michael Chaput |
| Nov 19, 2016 | 2 | 08:26 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 19, 2016 | 2 | 08:19 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 19, 2016 | 2 | 05:00 | Defensive | Michael Chaput |