Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Toews wins 61.0% vs left-shot opponents — Handzus shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 58.6% vs Handzus 50.6% (+8.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 93.2%
Defensive zone
Toews 64.7%
Neutral zone
Toews 78.9%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 84.6%
84.6%
15.4%
Toews
Handzus
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Toews
Handzus
Last 5: Toews 4-1 Handzus
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
2
1
Toews
Handzus
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
1
0
Toews
Handzus
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
1
0
Toews
Handzus
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Handzus
Edge
Even Strength
58.5% (775)
49.6% (682)
+8.9%
Power Play
64.9% (225)
61.6% (73)
+3.3%
Penalty Kill
55.8% (120)
51.7% (58)
+4.1%
On even strength, Toews has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Handzus shoots left. Toews is 61.0% vs left-shot opponents (821).
Toews shoots left. Handzus is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (534).
Home / Away
Toews
Handzus
Home
63.0% (567)
51.7% (472)
Away
55.8% (570)
49.3% (343)
By Period
Toews
Handzus
P1
59.6%
51.9%
P2
58.2%
51.5%
P3
60.7%
48.1%
OT
52.4%
100.0%
Final 5 min
59.0%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
59.4%
Handzus
50.0%▼
51.5%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2012 | 3 | 02:58 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 10, 2012 | 2 | 15:43 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 10, 2012 | 2 | 12:36 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 3 | 19:45 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 3 | 14:38 | Offensive | Michal Handzus |