Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Fisher on defensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 44 meetings). Toews wins 59.8% vs right-shot opponents — Fisher shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 57.8% vs Fisher 51.5% (+6.4%)
H2H factor
Fisher leads 82-69 in 151 meetings
Offensive zone
Fisher 62.7%
Defensive zone
Fisher 70.9%
Neutral zone
Fisher 69.3%
Result
Mike Fisher favored at 67.5%
32.5%
67.5%
Toews
Fisher
Head-to-Head Record
69
-
82
(151 meetings)
69
82
Toews
Fisher
Last 10: Toews 6-4 Fisher
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
31
20
Toews
Fisher
51 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fisher
12
32
Toews
Fisher
44 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fisher
26
30
Toews
Fisher
56 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Fisher
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (12,906)
51.4% (6,100)
+5.7%
Power Play
63.2% (3,220)
53.8% (1,126)
+9.4%
Penalty Kill
53.6% (1,808)
48.8% (781)
+4.8%
On power play, Toews has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fisher shoots right. Toews is 59.8% vs right-shot opponents (6,433).
Toews shoots left. Fisher is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,543).
Home / Away
Toews
Fisher
Home
59.6% (9,086)
52.4% (4,113)
Away
56.1% (8,879)
50.6% (3,922)
By Period
Toews
Fisher
P1
58.7%
49.6%
P2
57.7%
52.8%
P3
57.2%
52.2%
OT
58.8%
49.6%
Final 5 min
58.1%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
52.0%▼
58.0%
57.9%
Fisher
60.0%▲
58.0%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2017 | 3 | 18:26 | Defensive | Mike Fisher |
| Mar 4, 2017 | 3 | 06:38 | Defensive | Mike Fisher |
| Mar 4, 2017 | 3 | 06:32 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 4, 2017 | 2 | 18:53 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 4, 2017 | 1 | 16:49 | Offensive | Mike Fisher |
| Mar 4, 2017 | 1 | 15:13 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 8, 2017 | 2 | 18:45 | Defensive | Mike Fisher |
| Jan 8, 2017 | 2 | 18:28 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 8, 2017 | 2 | 15:34 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 8, 2017 | 1 | 18:08 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 8, 2017 | 1 | 11:16 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 8, 2017 | 1 | 06:32 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 8, 2017 | 1 | 04:29 | Offensive | Mike Fisher |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 3 | 09:46 | Defensive | Mike Fisher |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 3 | 07:38 | Offensive | Mike Fisher |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 3 | 05:15 | Offensive | Mike Fisher |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 3 | 05:06 | Offensive | Mike Fisher |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 2 | 18:18 | Defensive | Mike Fisher |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 2 | 08:39 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 1 | 17:47 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |