Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +11.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Fisher on neutral-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings). Toews wins 58.2% vs right-shot opponents — Fisher shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 59.0% vs Fisher 49.0% (+11.1%)
H2H factor
Fisher leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Toews 57.3%
Defensive zone
Fisher 63.5%
Neutral zone
Fisher 57.9%
Result
Mike Fisher favored at 55.4%
44.6%
55.4%
Toews
Fisher
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Toews
Fisher
Last 10: Toews 5-5 Fisher
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Toews
Fisher
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
1
0
Toews
Fisher
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fisher
3
4
Toews
Fisher
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Fisher
Edge
Even Strength
57.3% (736)
47.7% (419)
+9.6%
Power Play
71.4% (133)
57.0% (93)
+14.4%
Penalty Kill
66.1% (62)
42.9% (49)
+23.2%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +23.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fisher shoots right. Toews is 58.2% vs right-shot opponents (306).
Toews shoots left. Fisher is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (416).
Home / Away
Toews
Fisher
Home
61.0% (479)
51.4% (255)
Away
58.8% (454)
46.8% (308)
By Period
Toews
Fisher
P1
61.3%
46.7%
P2
57.9%
50.5%
P3
59.3%
49.4%
OT
73.3%
46.7%
Final 5 min
60.1%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
59.9%
Fisher
60.0%▲
58.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2013 | 3 | 11:57 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 10, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mike Fisher |
| Feb 10, 2013 | 2 | 09:31 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 10, 2013 | 2 | 07:20 | Neutral | Mike Fisher |
| Feb 10, 2013 | 2 | 03:13 | Offensive | Mike Fisher |
| Feb 10, 2013 | 2 | 00:13 | Neutral | Mike Fisher |
| Feb 10, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 10, 2013 | 1 | 11:50 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 10, 2013 | 1 | 07:38 | Neutral | Mike Fisher |
| Feb 10, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |