Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 16 meetings). Toews wins 60.8% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 59.0% vs Koivu 53.6% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 20-13 in 33 meetings
Offensive zone
Toews 72.2%
Defensive zone
Toews 85.3%
Neutral zone
Toews 82.7%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 78.2%
78.2%
21.8%
Toews
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
13
(33 meetings)
20
13
Toews
Koivu
Last 10: Toews 6-4 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
10
6
Toews
Koivu
16 total
Defensive Zone
Even
4
4
Toews
Koivu
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
6
3
Toews
Koivu
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
57.3% (736)
53.6% (739)
+3.7%
Power Play
71.4% (133)
56.2% (137)
+15.2%
Penalty Kill
66.1% (62)
53.7% (95)
+12.4%
On power play, Toews has a +15.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Toews is 60.8% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Toews shoots left. Koivu is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (701).
Home / Away
Toews
Koivu
Home
61.0% (479)
56.0% (495)
Away
58.8% (454)
51.9% (476)
By Period
Toews
Koivu
P1
61.3%
54.9%
P2
57.9%
53.5%
P3
59.3%
53.6%
OT
73.3%
52.9%
Final 5 min
60.1%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
59.9%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2013 | 3 | 15:27 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Apr 9, 2013 | 2 | 16:44 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 9, 2013 | 2 | 15:01 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 9, 2013 | 2 | 12:09 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 9, 2013 | 2 | 06:17 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 9, 2013 | 2 | 03:35 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 3 | 18:21 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 3 | 16:47 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 3 | 14:45 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 3 | 11:33 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 2 | 14:41 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 1 | 08:56 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 1 | 03:27 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 1 | 03:22 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 30, 2013 | OT | 02:00 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 30, 2013 | OT | 00:17 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 30, 2013 | 3 | 11:21 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |