Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Toews wins 58.9% vs right-shot opponents — Shore shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 58.0% vs Shore 51.6% (+6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 82.1%
Defensive zone
Toews 56.7%
Neutral zone
Toews 77.4%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 78.0%
78.0%
22.0%
Toews
Shore
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Toews
Shore
Last 7: Toews 5-2 Shore
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Shore
0
1
Toews
Shore
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
5
1
Toews
Shore
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Shore
Edge
Even Strength
58.2% (1,200)
51.9% (661)
+6.3%
Power Play
62.8% (250)
75.0% (20)
-12.2%
Penalty Kill
53.7% (123)
43.3% (60)
+10.4%
On power play, Shore has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Shore shoots right. Toews is 58.9% vs right-shot opponents (630).
Toews shoots left. Shore is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (503).
Home / Away
Toews
Shore
Home
59.8% (805)
53.4% (348)
Away
57.3% (768)
50.4% (393)
By Period
Toews
Shore
P1
60.2%
49.4%
P2
60.7%
53.6%
P3
55.9%
52.5%
OT
44.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
61.8%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
58.6%
Shore
62.0%▲
55.5%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2016 | 3 | 16:10 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 14, 2016 | 3 | 10:13 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 14, 2016 | 2 | 11:24 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 28, 2015 | 3 | 10:08 | Neutral | Nicholas Shore |
| Nov 28, 2015 | 2 | 13:04 | Offensive | Nicholas Shore |
| Nov 28, 2015 | 2 | 12:56 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 2, 2015 | 1 | 14:39 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |