Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (59.9% vs 59.7%). Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Toews wins 60.8% vs left-shot opponents — Gaustad shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 59.0% vs Gaustad 57.9% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 9-7 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Toews 85.0%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 73.2%
Neutral zone
Toews 51.9%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 60.1%
60.1%
39.9%
Toews
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
7
(16 meetings)
9
7
Toews
Gaustad
Last 10: Toews 6-4 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
5
2
Toews
Gaustad
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
1
3
Toews
Gaustad
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
3
2
Toews
Gaustad
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
57.3% (736)
59.8% (353)
-2.5%
Power Play
71.4% (133)
66.7% (15)
+4.7%
Penalty Kill
66.1% (62)
58.0% (81)
+8.1%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Toews is 60.8% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Toews shoots left. Gaustad is 61.2% vs left-shot opponents (309).
Home / Away
Toews
Gaustad
Home
61.0% (479)
62.1% (195)
Away
58.8% (454)
57.9% (254)
By Period
Toews
Gaustad
P1
61.3%
59.4%
P2
57.9%
58.1%
P3
59.3%
61.3%
OT
73.3%
66.7%
Final 5 min
60.1%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
59.9%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
59.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2013 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 3 | 18:31 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 3 | 09:30 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 3 | 00:13 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 2 | 18:11 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 2 | 12:52 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 2 | 00:14 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 1 | 03:10 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 10, 2013 | 2 | 12:30 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 10, 2013 | 2 | 05:27 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 10, 2013 | 2 | 03:27 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 10, 2013 | 1 | 17:11 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 10, 2013 | 1 | 02:46 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |