Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +16.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Toews wins 60.8% vs left-shot opponents — Holland shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 59.0% vs Holland 45.9% (+16.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 94.4%
Defensive zone
Toews 87.9%
Neutral zone
Toews 94.2%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 93.2%
93.2%
6.8%
Toews
Holland
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Toews
Holland
Last 6: Toews 5-1 Holland
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
1
0
Toews
Holland
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
1
0
Toews
Holland
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
3
1
Toews
Holland
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Holland
Edge
Even Strength
57.3% (736)
43.4% (196)
+13.9%
Power Play
71.4% (133)
57.1% (7)
+14.3%
On power play, Toews has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Holland shoots left. Toews is 60.8% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Toews shoots left. Holland is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (150).
Home / Away
Toews
Holland
Home
61.0% (479)
49.2% (130)
Away
58.8% (454)
34.2% (73)
By Period
Toews
Holland
P1
61.3%
48.1%
P2
57.9%
39.3%
P3
59.3%
42.6%
Final 5 min
60.1%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
59.9%
Holland
38.0%▼
48.0%
43.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2013 | 2 | 04:51 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 29, 2013 | 2 | 04:33 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 20, 2013 | 3 | 12:59 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 20, 2013 | 3 | 09:37 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 20, 2013 | 3 | 09:26 | Neutral | Peter Holland |
| Mar 20, 2013 | 2 | 12:26 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |