Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +17.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Toews wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Krebs shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 60.3% vs Krebs 45.5% (+17.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 92.1%
Defensive zone
Toews 63.9%
Neutral zone
Toews 87.4%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 87.4%
87.4%
12.6%
Toews
Krebs
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Toews
Krebs
Last 9: Toews 6-3 Krebs
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
3
2
Toews
Krebs
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Krebs
0
1
Toews
Krebs
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
3
0
Toews
Krebs
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Krebs
Edge
Even Strength
62.5% (696)
44.6% (388)
+17.9%
Power Play
59.6% (141)
25.0% (4)
+34.6%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (32)
45.0% (20)
+1.9%
On power play, Toews has a +34.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krebs shoots left. Toews is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (577).
Toews shoots left. Krebs is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (280).
Home / Away
Toews
Krebs
Home
60.9% (435)
46.8% (188)
Away
62.0% (434)
42.4% (224)
By Period
Toews
Krebs
P1
59.8%
47.2%
P2
65.7%
44.9%
P3
58.8%
41.1%
OT
80.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
58.3%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
61.4%
Krebs
48.0%▲
45.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2025 | 2 | 11:49 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 1 | 05:31 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 3 | 17:41 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 3 | 13:24 | Offensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 3 | 06:23 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 2 | 07:37 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 1 | 16:40 | Offensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 1 | 13:24 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 1 | 03:30 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |