Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Umberger on offensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings). Toews wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Umberger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 56.3% vs Umberger 50.3% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Umberger leads 7-7 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Umberger 59.1%
Defensive zone
Toews 55.6%
Neutral zone
Umberger 54.5%
Result
R.J. Umberger favored at 55.3%
44.7%
55.3%
Toews
Umberger
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
7
(14 meetings)
7
7
Toews
Umberger
Last 10: Toews 5-5 Umberger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Umberger
3
4
Toews
Umberger
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
2
0
Toews
Umberger
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Umberger
2
3
Toews
Umberger
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Umberger
Edge
Even Strength
55.6% (1,125)
48.6% (107)
+7.0%
Power Play
59.3% (312)
50.5% (97)
+8.8%
Penalty Kill
57.4% (204)
64.3% (14)
-6.9%
On power play, Toews has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Umberger shoots left. Toews is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,194).
Toews shoots left. Umberger is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (155).
Home / Away
Toews
Umberger
Home
59.8% (858)
51.9% (104)
Away
53.3% (795)
49.1% (116)
By Period
Toews
Umberger
P1
58.7%
55.0%
P2
55.1%
45.2%
P3
56.5%
50.0%
OT
54.8%
60.0%
Final 5 min
56.3%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
56.7%
Umberger
50.0%▼
53.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2011 | 3 | 10:21 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 18, 2011 | 3 | 01:14 | Neutral | R.J. Umberger |
| Feb 18, 2011 | 2 | 05:52 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 18, 2011 | 2 | 04:33 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 18, 2011 | 2 | 04:21 | Offensive | R.J. Umberger |
| Feb 18, 2011 | 1 | 15:38 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 18, 2011 | 1 | 07:23 | Neutral | R.J. Umberger |
| Feb 18, 2011 | 1 | 01:35 | Offensive | R.J. Umberger |
| Feb 1, 2011 | 3 | 18:28 | Offensive | R.J. Umberger |
| Dec 26, 2010 | 3 | 14:31 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 23, 2010 | 1 | 00:10 | Neutral | R.J. Umberger |
| Oct 15, 2010 | 2 | 12:20 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 15, 2010 | 1 | 19:57 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 15, 2010 | 1 | 14:46 | Offensive | R.J. Umberger |