Scouting Report
Rich Peverley holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Peverley on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Toews wins 57.9% vs right-shot opponents — Peverley shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 56.8% vs Peverley 58.6% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 71.4%
Defensive zone
Toews 50.8%
Neutral zone
Toews 57.4%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 60.6%
60.6%
39.4%
Toews
Peverley
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Toews
Peverley
Last 7: Toews 1-6 Peverley
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Peverley
0
3
Toews
Peverley
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Peverley
1
2
Toews
Peverley
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Peverley
0
1
Toews
Peverley
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Peverley
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (1,143)
62.8% (414)
-6.9%
Power Play
65.1% (304)
54.2% (96)
+10.9%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (97)
52.2% (69)
-3.7%
On power play, Toews has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Peverley shoots right. Toews is 57.9% vs right-shot opponents (625).
Toews shoots left. Peverley is 62.0% vs left-shot opponents (397).
Home / Away
Toews
Peverley
Home
61.7% (810)
63.9% (324)
Away
52.3% (734)
55.3% (255)
By Period
Toews
Peverley
P1
56.0%
63.3%
P2
56.9%
60.1%
P3
59.3%
58.0%
OT
50.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
61.2%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
57.3%
Peverley
60.0%▲
58.0%
60.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2013 | 1 | 05:23 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |
| Nov 29, 2013 | 3 | 11:35 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 29, 2013 | 1 | 09:49 | Offensive | Rich Peverley |
| Nov 29, 2013 | 1 | 07:26 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |
| Nov 9, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Rich Peverley |
| Nov 9, 2013 | 2 | 03:11 | Offensive | Rich Peverley |
| Nov 9, 2013 | 1 | 13:15 | Offensive | Rich Peverley |