Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Toews wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Schremp shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 56.3% vs Schremp 46.8% (+10.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 95.5%
Defensive zone
Toews 81.7%
Neutral zone
Toews 85.4%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 88.8%
88.8%
11.2%
Toews
Schremp
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Toews
Schremp
Last 6: Toews 5-1 Schremp
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
2
0
Toews
Schremp
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
3
1
Toews
Schremp
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Schremp
Edge
Even Strength
55.6% (1,125)
46.8% (410)
+8.8%
Power Play
59.3% (312)
44.9% (69)
+14.4%
Penalty Kill
57.4% (204)
25.0% (4)
+32.4%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +32.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schremp shoots left. Toews is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,194).
Toews shoots left. Schremp is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Home / Away
Toews
Schremp
Home
59.8% (858)
48.3% (238)
Away
53.3% (795)
44.0% (248)
By Period
Toews
Schremp
P1
58.7%
54.1%
P2
55.1%
44.1%
P3
56.5%
41.5%
OT
54.8%
25.0%
Final 5 min
56.3%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
56.7%
Schremp
40.0%▼
44.0%
46.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2011 | 3 | 03:01 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 9, 2011 | 3 | 00:38 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 9, 2011 | 2 | 16:53 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 9, 2011 | 2 | 09:29 | Neutral | Rob Schremp |
| Jan 9, 2011 | 2 | 06:27 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 9, 2011 | 1 | 17:08 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |