Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +13.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Toews wins 56.7% vs left-shot opponents — Donato shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 57.9% vs Donato 44.9% (+13.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 90.0%
Defensive zone
Toews 96.8%
Neutral zone
Toews 95.4%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 95.0%
95.0%
5.0%
Toews
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
0
(6 meetings)
6
0
Toews
Donato
Last 6: Toews 6-0 Donato
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
1
0
Toews
Donato
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
2
0
Toews
Donato
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
3
0
Toews
Donato
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
57.2% (13,047)
44.2% (1,179)
+13.0%
Power Play
63.3% (3,252)
46.3% (246)
+17.0%
Penalty Kill
53.6% (1,810)
36.4% (11)
+17.2%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +17.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Toews is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (11,653).
Toews shoots left. Donato is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (889).
Home / Away
Toews
Donato
Home
59.7% (9,192)
47.2% (743)
Away
56.1% (8,948)
41.6% (693)
By Period
Toews
Donato
P1
58.6%
43.4%
P2
57.8%
45.1%
P3
57.3%
44.4%
OT
58.9%
70.0%
Final 5 min
58.2%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
57.9%
Donato
46.0%▼
48.5%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2022 | 1 | 16:02 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 15, 2019 | 3 | 16:11 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 15, 2019 | 3 | 10:05 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 15, 2019 | 2 | 18:11 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 15, 2019 | 2 | 18:04 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 15, 2019 | 2 | 14:20 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |