Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +18.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Toews wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — Donato shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 56.8% vs Donato 44.6% (+18.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 93.9%
Defensive zone
Toews 91.1%
Neutral zone
Toews 92.5%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 91.9%
91.9%
8.1%
Toews
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Toews
Donato
Last 5: Toews 5-0 Donato
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
2
0
Toews
Donato
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
3
0
Toews
Donato
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (1,014)
39.8% (93)
+16.1%
Power Play
62.8% (301)
33.3% (9)
+29.5%
On power play, Toews has a +29.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Toews is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (903).
Toews shoots left. Donato is 35.6% vs left-shot opponents (59).
Home / Away
Toews
Donato
Home
56.6% (709)
39.4% (66)
Away
58.0% (785)
38.9% (36)
By Period
Toews
Donato
P1
60.4%
40.5%
P2
57.6%
36.7%
P3
54.3%
40.0%
Final 5 min
58.5%
29.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
57.3%
Donato
46.0%▼
48.5%
39.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2019 | 3 | 16:11 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 15, 2019 | 3 | 10:05 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 15, 2019 | 2 | 18:11 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 15, 2019 | 2 | 18:04 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 15, 2019 | 2 | 14:20 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |