Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Doan on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Toews wins 60.0% vs right-shot opponents — Doan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 57.9% vs Doan 48.3% (+9.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Doan 82.6%
Defensive zone
Toews 74.3%
Neutral zone
Doan 62.3%
Result
Shane Doan favored at 55.3%
44.7%
55.3%
Toews
Doan
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Toews
Doan
Last 7: Toews 3-4 Doan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Doan
0
3
Toews
Doan
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
2
1
Toews
Doan
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
1
0
Toews
Doan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Doan
Edge
Even Strength
57.2% (13,047)
48.6% (451)
+8.6%
Power Play
63.3% (3,252)
46.3% (136)
+17.0%
Penalty Kill
53.6% (1,810)
50.0% (10)
+3.6%
On power play, Toews has a +17.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Doan shoots right. Toews is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (6,486).
Toews shoots left. Doan is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (462).
Home / Away
Toews
Doan
Home
59.7% (9,192)
48.4% (312)
Away
56.1% (8,948)
47.6% (286)
By Period
Toews
Doan
P1
58.6%
42.8%
P2
57.8%
48.3%
P3
57.3%
53.0%
OT
58.9%
33.3%
Final 5 min
58.2%
45.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
57.9%
Doan
44.0%▼
47.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2016 | 3 | 05:54 | Offensive | Shane Doan |
| Dec 29, 2015 | 3 | 14:33 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 29, 2015 | 3 | 14:27 | Offensive | Shane Doan |
| Dec 29, 2015 | 3 | 03:28 | Offensive | Shane Doan |
| Dec 29, 2015 | 2 | 12:58 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 11, 2012 | 3 | 11:43 | Defensive | Shane Doan |
| Feb 12, 2011 | 2 | 10:19 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |