Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Doan on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Toews wins 58.9% vs right-shot opponents — Doan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 58.0% vs Doan 51.0% (+6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Doan 81.1%
Defensive zone
Toews 70.1%
Neutral zone
Doan 65.2%
Result
Shane Doan favored at 60.6%
39.4%
60.6%
Toews
Doan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Toews
Doan
Last 5: Toews 2-3 Doan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Doan
0
3
Toews
Doan
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
2
0
Toews
Doan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Doan
Edge
Even Strength
58.2% (1,200)
52.8% (123)
+5.4%
Power Play
62.8% (250)
43.8% (16)
+19.0%
Penalty Kill
53.7% (123)
50.0% (4)
+3.7%
On power play, Toews has a +19.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Doan shoots right. Toews is 58.9% vs right-shot opponents (630).
Toews shoots left. Doan is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (108).
Home / Away
Toews
Doan
Home
59.8% (805)
54.5% (66)
Away
57.3% (768)
49.4% (77)
By Period
Toews
Doan
P1
60.2%
45.0%
P2
60.7%
51.9%
P3
55.9%
58.0%
OT
44.8%
0.0%
Final 5 min
61.8%
58.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
58.6%
Doan
44.0%▼
47.0%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2016 | 3 | 05:54 | Offensive | Shane Doan |
| Dec 29, 2015 | 3 | 14:33 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 29, 2015 | 3 | 14:27 | Offensive | Shane Doan |
| Dec 29, 2015 | 3 | 03:28 | Offensive | Shane Doan |
| Dec 29, 2015 | 2 | 12:58 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |