Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 16 meetings). Toews wins 61.0% vs left-shot opponents — Horcoff shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 58.6% vs Horcoff 49.4% (+10.0%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 28-13 in 41 meetings
Offensive zone
Toews 97.5%
Defensive zone
Toews 79.4%
Neutral zone
Toews 87.7%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 87.5%
87.5%
12.5%
Toews
Horcoff
Head-to-Head Record
28
-
13
(41 meetings)
28
13
Toews
Horcoff
Last 10: Toews 6-4 Horcoff
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
8
3
Toews
Horcoff
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
8
6
Toews
Horcoff
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
12
4
Toews
Horcoff
16 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Horcoff
Edge
Even Strength
58.5% (775)
49.9% (976)
+8.6%
Power Play
64.9% (225)
49.4% (241)
+15.5%
Penalty Kill
55.8% (120)
46.8% (233)
+9.0%
On power play, Toews has a +15.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horcoff shoots left. Toews is 61.0% vs left-shot opponents (821).
Toews shoots left. Horcoff is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,057).
Home / Away
Toews
Horcoff
Home
63.0% (567)
52.1% (755)
Away
55.8% (570)
46.5% (720)
By Period
Toews
Horcoff
P1
59.6%
49.3%
P2
58.2%
47.9%
P3
60.7%
50.7%
OT
52.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
59.0%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
59.4%
Horcoff
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2012 | 3 | 06:25 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 2, 2012 | 3 | 04:11 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 2, 2012 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Feb 2, 2012 | 2 | 17:45 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Feb 2, 2012 | 2 | 08:02 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Feb 2, 2012 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 2, 2012 | 1 | 17:52 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 2, 2012 | 1 | 12:39 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 2, 2012 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Jan 2, 2012 | 3 | 19:48 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 2, 2012 | 3 | 16:23 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Jan 2, 2012 | 3 | 16:11 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 2, 2012 | 3 | 11:14 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 2, 2012 | 3 | 02:33 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 2, 2012 | 3 | 00:27 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 2, 2012 | 2 | 19:37 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Jan 2, 2012 | 2 | 19:29 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Jan 2, 2012 | 2 | 10:41 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Jan 2, 2012 | 2 | 06:49 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 2, 2012 | 2 | 03:11 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |