Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Toews wins 60.8% vs left-shot opponents — Horcoff shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 59.0% vs Horcoff 49.2% (+10.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 84.9%
Defensive zone
Toews 51.5%
Neutral zone
Toews 81.7%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 77.1%
77.1%
22.9%
Toews
Horcoff
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Toews
Horcoff
Last 9: Toews 6-3 Horcoff
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
5
1
Toews
Horcoff
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Toews
Horcoff
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horcoff
0
1
Toews
Horcoff
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Horcoff
Edge
Even Strength
57.3% (736)
46.9% (318)
+10.4%
Power Play
71.4% (133)
64.9% (94)
+6.5%
Penalty Kill
66.1% (62)
39.8% (88)
+26.3%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +26.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horcoff shoots left. Toews is 60.8% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Toews shoots left. Horcoff is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (350).
Home / Away
Toews
Horcoff
Home
61.0% (479)
46.7% (289)
Away
58.8% (454)
52.1% (211)
By Period
Toews
Horcoff
P1
61.3%
49.4%
P2
57.9%
47.0%
P3
59.3%
50.9%
OT
73.3%
42.9%
Final 5 min
60.1%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
59.9%
Horcoff
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2013 | 2 | 07:42 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Apr 24, 2013 | 1 | 17:39 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 10, 2013 | 3 | 18:56 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Mar 10, 2013 | 3 | 05:46 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 10, 2013 | 2 | 11:45 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 10, 2013 | 1 | 15:06 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 10, 2013 | 1 | 09:14 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 10, 2013 | 1 | 03:00 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Mar 10, 2013 | 1 | 00:37 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |