Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Toews wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Horcoff shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 56.8% vs Horcoff 50.1% (+7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 92.2%
Defensive zone
Toews 65.4%
Neutral zone
Toews 81.8%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 92.2%
92.2%
7.8%
Toews
Horcoff
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Toews
Horcoff
Last 6: Toews 5-1 Horcoff
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
5
1
Toews
Horcoff
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Horcoff
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (1,143)
52.7% (347)
+3.2%
Power Play
65.1% (304)
40.0% (20)
+25.1%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (97)
36.0% (50)
+12.5%
On power play, Toews has a +25.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horcoff shoots left. Toews is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (919).
Toews shoots left. Horcoff is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (266).
Home / Away
Toews
Horcoff
Home
61.7% (810)
57.0% (165)
Away
52.3% (734)
45.6% (252)
By Period
Toews
Horcoff
P1
56.0%
46.8%
P2
56.9%
50.6%
P3
59.3%
50.9%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
61.2%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
57.3%
Horcoff
62.0%▲
55.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2013 | 2 | 18:25 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Dec 3, 2013 | 3 | 05:19 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 3, 2013 | 2 | 14:36 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 3, 2013 | 1 | 04:18 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 9, 2013 | 2 | 17:37 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 9, 2013 | 1 | 11:21 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |