Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Toews wins 61.0% vs left-shot opponents — Matthias shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 58.6% vs Matthias 49.5% (+10.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 91.1%
Defensive zone
Toews 61.1%
Neutral zone
Toews 75.3%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 80.3%
80.3%
19.7%
Toews
Matthias
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Toews
Matthias
Last 7: Toews 5-2 Matthias
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
3
1
Toews
Matthias
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Toews
Matthias
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
1
0
Toews
Matthias
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Matthias
Edge
Even Strength
58.5% (775)
49.4% (510)
+9.1%
Power Play
64.9% (225)
55.3% (38)
+9.6%
Penalty Kill
55.8% (120)
46.5% (43)
+9.3%
On power play, Toews has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Matthias shoots left. Toews is 61.0% vs left-shot opponents (821).
Toews shoots left. Matthias is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (390).
Home / Away
Toews
Matthias
Home
63.0% (567)
47.6% (315)
Away
55.8% (570)
51.4% (282)
By Period
Toews
Matthias
P1
59.6%
50.0%
P2
58.2%
51.9%
P3
60.7%
45.8%
OT
52.4%
75.0%
Final 5 min
59.0%
39.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
52.0%▼
58.0%
59.4%
Matthias
40.0%▼
41.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2012 | 2 | 18:14 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 20, 2012 | 2 | 06:06 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 20, 2012 | 1 | 13:19 | Defensive | Shawn Matthias |
| Jan 20, 2012 | 1 | 04:23 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 2 | 09:29 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 2 | 02:58 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 1 | 09:35 | Offensive | Shawn Matthias |