Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +12.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Toews wins 58.0% vs right-shot opponents — Oshie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 56.3% vs Oshie 45.9% (+12.6%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Toews 85.7%
Defensive zone
Toews 80.7%
Neutral zone
Toews 75.1%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 80.5%
80.5%
19.5%
Toews
Oshie
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Toews
Oshie
Last 10: Toews 7-3 Oshie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Toews
Oshie
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
3
0
Toews
Oshie
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Toews
Oshie
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Oshie
Edge
Even Strength
55.6% (1,125)
46.8% (186)
+8.8%
Power Play
59.3% (312)
25.0% (16)
+34.3%
Penalty Kill
57.4% (204)
36.0% (25)
+21.4%
On power play, Toews has a +34.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Oshie shoots right. Toews is 58.0% vs right-shot opponents (459).
Toews shoots left. Oshie is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (188).
Home / Away
Toews
Oshie
Home
59.8% (858)
47.2% (106)
Away
53.3% (795)
41.3% (121)
By Period
Toews
Oshie
P1
58.7%
55.6%
P2
55.1%
40.8%
P3
56.5%
37.5%
OT
54.8%
25.0%
Final 5 min
56.3%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
56.7%
Oshie
32.0%▼
43.0%
44.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2011 | 1 | 10:44 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 6, 2011 | 1 | 09:44 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 21, 2011 | 3 | 09:16 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Oct 22, 2010 | 3 | 16:49 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 22, 2010 | 3 | 14:36 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 22, 2010 | 3 | 11:01 | Neutral | T.J. Oshie |
| Oct 22, 2010 | 3 | 03:18 | Neutral | T.J. Oshie |
| Oct 22, 2010 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 22, 2010 | 2 | 13:41 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 22, 2010 | 2 | 02:18 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 18, 2010 | 3 | 19:23 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |