Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Toews wins 61.0% vs left-shot opponents — Plekanec shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 58.6% vs Plekanec 49.2% (+10.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 95.5%
Defensive zone
Toews 55.4%
Neutral zone
Toews 81.7%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 88.8%
88.8%
11.2%
Toews
Plekanec
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Toews
Plekanec
Last 8: Toews 6-2 Plekanec
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
4
2
Toews
Plekanec
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
1
0
Toews
Plekanec
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
1
0
Toews
Plekanec
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Plekanec
Edge
Even Strength
58.5% (775)
49.8% (1,095)
+8.7%
Power Play
64.9% (225)
49.4% (174)
+15.5%
Penalty Kill
55.8% (120)
47.3% (364)
+8.5%
On power play, Toews has a +15.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Plekanec shoots left. Toews is 61.0% vs left-shot opponents (821).
Toews shoots left. Plekanec is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,041).
Home / Away
Toews
Plekanec
Home
63.0% (567)
49.4% (789)
Away
55.8% (570)
48.8% (889)
By Period
Toews
Plekanec
P1
59.6%
51.9%
P2
58.2%
48.8%
P3
60.7%
47.8%
OT
52.4%
39.6%
Final 5 min
59.0%
46.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
59.4%
Plekanec
56.0%▬
56.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2011 | 3 | 06:25 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 21, 2011 | 3 | 04:51 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Dec 21, 2011 | 2 | 17:50 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 21, 2011 | 2 | 17:45 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 21, 2011 | 2 | 08:15 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 21, 2011 | 2 | 05:35 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 21, 2011 | 1 | 11:09 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Dec 21, 2011 | 1 | 08:47 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |