Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +14.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (81% H2H, 16 meetings). Toews wins 60.0% vs right-shot opponents — Boyd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 57.9% vs Boyd 44.1% (+14.0%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 27-7 in 34 meetings
Offensive zone
Toews 98.5%
Defensive zone
Toews 92.5%
Neutral zone
Toews 97.4%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 96.6%
96.6%
3.4%
Toews
Boyd
Head-to-Head Record
27
-
7
(34 meetings)
27
7
Toews
Boyd
Last 10: Toews 9-1 Boyd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
13
3
Toews
Boyd
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
8
1
Toews
Boyd
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
6
3
Toews
Boyd
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Boyd
Edge
Even Strength
57.2% (13,047)
44.4% (2,186)
+12.8%
Power Play
63.3% (3,252)
46.5% (256)
+16.8%
Penalty Kill
53.6% (1,810)
35.6% (208)
+18.0%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +18.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Boyd shoots right. Toews is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (6,486).
Toews shoots left. Boyd is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,838).
Home / Away
Toews
Boyd
Home
59.7% (9,192)
46.3% (1,327)
Away
56.1% (8,948)
41.5% (1,324)
By Period
Toews
Boyd
P1
58.6%
41.7%
P2
57.8%
46.2%
P3
57.3%
44.0%
OT
58.9%
22.2%
Final 5 min
58.2%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
57.9%
Boyd
50.0%▲
48.0%
43.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2023 | 3 | 16:38 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 6, 2023 | 2 | 18:22 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 6, 2023 | 2 | 18:17 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 6, 2023 | 2 | 13:40 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 6, 2023 | 2 | 10:29 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 6, 2023 | 2 | 06:25 | Defensive | Travis Boyd |
| Jan 6, 2023 | 1 | 07:48 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 6, 2023 | 1 | 07:37 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 20, 2022 | 3 | 16:07 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 20, 2022 | 2 | 13:59 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 20, 2022 | 2 | 00:44 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 3 | 05:33 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 3 | 02:04 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 3 | 01:51 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 2 | 15:46 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 2 | 15:43 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 2 | 02:53 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 3 | 17:07 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 3 | 14:48 | Offensive | Travis Boyd |