Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Toews wins 71.8% vs right-shot opponents — Dellandrea shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 60.3% vs Dellandrea 51.9% (+9.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 85.6%
Defensive zone
Dellandrea 71.4%
Neutral zone
Toews 67.9%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 55.7%
55.7%
44.3%
Toews
Dellandrea
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Toews
Dellandrea
Last 5: Toews 3-2 Dellandrea
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
1
0
Toews
Dellandrea
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Toews
Dellandrea
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Toews
Dellandrea
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Dellandrea
Edge
Even Strength
62.5% (696)
54.1% (355)
+8.4%
Power Play
59.6% (141)
53.8% (13)
+5.8%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (32)
47.6% (143)
-0.7%
On even strength, Toews has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dellandrea shoots right. Toews is 71.8% vs right-shot opponents (291).
Toews shoots left. Dellandrea is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (396).
Home / Away
Toews
Dellandrea
Home
60.9% (435)
54.3% (278)
Away
62.0% (434)
49.8% (233)
By Period
Toews
Dellandrea
P1
59.8%
54.2%
P2
65.7%
50.6%
P3
58.8%
51.8%
OT
80.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
58.3%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
61.4%
Dellandrea
58.0%▲
53.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2025 | 3 | 00:51 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 3 | 00:42 | Neutral | Ty Dellandrea |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 3 | 00:32 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 1 | 10:54 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 1 | 03:30 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |