Jonny Brodzinski vs Sam Carrick
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Brodzinski on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Brodzinski wins 44.5% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brodzinski 50.1% vs Carrick 52.1% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brodzinski 76.5%
Defensive zone
Carrick 79.2%
Neutral zone
Carrick 60.5%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 60.5%
39.5%
60.5%
Brodzinski
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Brodzinski
Carrick
Last 5: Brodzinski 3-2 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brodzinski
3
2
Brodzinski
Carrick
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brodzinski
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (692)
52.1% (2,513)
-2.1%
Power Play
52.9% (51)
61.3% (75)
-8.4%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (13)
50.7% (430)
-4.5%
On power play, Carrick has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Brodzinski is 44.5% vs right-shot opponents (229).
Brodzinski shoots right. Carrick is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (839).
Home / Away
Brodzinski
Carrick
Home
50.7% (353)
51.2% (1,441)
Away
49.6% (403)
53.0% (1,577)
By Period
Brodzinski
Carrick
P1
48.2%
51.8%
P2
48.9%
52.2%
P3
53.4%
52.4%
Final 5 min
48.0%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brodzinski
52.0%▲
49.0%
50.1%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2024 | 3 | 19:54 | Neutral | Jonny Brodzinski |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 3 | 19:47 | Neutral | Jonny Brodzinski |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 3 | 19:24 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 3 | 14:23 | Neutral | Jonny Brodzinski |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 2 | 17:58 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |